Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 54.845643 62.623050 70.654119 79.532975 89.041281 98.887611 109.824100
2025-04-27 43.963355 55.102686 67.199701 81.173173 96.736885 113.418751 132.532733
2025-05-04 36.318918 49.071810 63.475736 80.659949 100.334309 121.915789 147.146312
2025-05-11 30.342534 44.050504 60.108683 79.823112 102.931311 128.769028 159.468535
2025-05-18 26.334959 40.830113 58.371645 80.440761 106.816779 136.766009 172.807522
2025-05-25 22.523477 37.394312 55.993980 79.959946 109.135382 142.738935 183.649656
2025-06-01 19.659163 34.854918 54.456491 80.262939 112.190356 149.416504 195.183556
2025-06-08 16.713508 31.873500 52.091931 79.314059 113.549382 153.955728 204.111852
2025-06-15 14.995833 30.427404 51.584699 80.587028 117.531598 161.545717 216.579464
2025-06-22 13.530995 29.187838 51.233433 81.965205 121.575301 169.165804 229.059828
2025-06-29 11.565578 26.960751 49.362538 81.223850 122.857910 173.370106 237.414492
2025-07-06 9.490017 24.292527 46.674900 79.234511 122.426895 175.383397 243.059615
2025-07-13 8.972094 24.192391 47.688885 82.275157 128.512383 185.504826 258.628347
2025-07-20 8.188923 23.540212 47.838430 84.104801 133.024780 193.693845 271.887506
2025-07-27 6.934546 21.863732 46.335566 83.556341 134.367769 197.892394 280.251879
2025-08-03 5.771800 20.173786 44.686722 82.705559 135.239871 201.450121 287.795888
2025-08-10 5.036477 19.219258 44.116872 83.335718 138.042414 207.419424 298.300166
2025-08-17 4.189242 17.873050 42.820411 82.844801 139.290703 211.384595 306.306126
2025-08-24 3.573866 16.925109 42.106667 83.154207 141.585877 216.664389 315.936597
2025-08-31 2.854100 15.556069 40.581319 82.185171 142.084244 219.603960 322.624641
2025-09-07 2.516860 15.092938 40.582389 83.485160 145.688387 226.544842 334.330912
2025-09-14 2.226472 14.694081 40.665722 84.892396 149.434251 233.672040 346.283477
2025-09-21 1.741247 13.576848 39.375742 84.135435 150.129254 236.810001 353.196734